Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 66% of their games, both teams scoring in 66%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 53%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Yeovil Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Worthing: 10 league matches in the bank.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Yeovil Town's numbers over its games, Worthing's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Yeovil Town's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 14 (56%). In Worthing's own 4 away matches read, 2 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 53% of games.
The two sides
Yeovil Town -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 50 (52%); over 1.5 in 37 (74%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 50 (52%). At home: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 14 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Yeovil Town's own 50 matches read: Yeovil Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (46%). Yeovil Town itself held the lead in 11, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 25.
Worthing -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 8 of its own 10 (80%); over 1.5 in 8 (80%); over 3.5 in 6 (60%). Away: over 2.5 in 4 of its 4 (100%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 8 of its own 10 (80%). Away: 4 of its 4 (100%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 2 of its own 10 (20%); failed to score in 0 (0%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Worthing's own 10 matches read: Worthing or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 4 (40%). Worthing itself held the lead in 2, winning 2. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 2 of 4.
Built 19:01 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.